Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | UTM -305 SIUE +245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +6 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | UTM -10.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -8.4 (-2.4) | 130.8 (-6.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -7.7 (-1.7) | 132.4 (-8.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -8.9 (-2.9) | 129.8 (-5.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -9.2 (-3.2) | 130.4 (-6.4) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UTM 81 – 76 SIUE |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UTM 76 – 71 SIUE |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTM 85 – 82 SIUE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UTM 90 – 79 SIUE |
| Mar 3, 2023 | UTM 81 – 75 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-6 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 65.9 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#185) | -7.8 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#125) | -1.43 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#159) | -1.94 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#165) | 0.395 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.6% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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