Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | SIUE -260 UTM +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +5 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -7.3 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -6.6 (-11.6) | 138.4 (+8.6) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -4.5 (-9.5) | 138.8 (+8.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -6.0 (-11.0) | 135.6 (+11.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -6.3 (-11.3) | 136.0 (+11.0) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UTM 81 – 76 SIUE |
| Jan 16, 2026 | UTM 65 – 59 SIUE |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTM 85 – 82 SIUE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UTM 90 – 79 SIUE |
| Mar 3, 2023 | UTM 81 – 75 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 12-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#223) | -7.6 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#213) | -1.72 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#230) | -2.18 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#196) | 0.429 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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