Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | UTM +100 SIUE -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +6 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -2.1 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -0.7 (+6.7) | 153.3 (+2.7) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -0.7 (+6.7) | 152.2 (+3.8) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -0.8 (+6.8) | 153.6 (+2.4) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -0.4 (+6.4) | 155.7 (+0.3) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UTM 81 – 76 SIUE |
| Jan 16, 2026 | UTM 65 – 59 SIUE |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UTM 76 – 71 SIUE |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTM 85 – 82 SIUE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UTM 90 – 79 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#260) | -3.3 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#251) | -0.54 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#257) | -0.93 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#237) | 0.499 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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