Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | DAY -350 SBU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +5 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | DAY -8.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -7.4 (-2.4) | 136.0 (+11.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -8.6 (-3.6) | 136.6 (+10.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -8.1 (-3.1) | 138.0 (+9.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -7.8 (-2.8) | 137.0 (+10.0) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | DAY 68 – 63 SBU |
| Feb 4, 2026 | DAY 72 – 70 SBU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | SBU 75 – 53 DAY |
| Feb 5, 2023 | SBU 68 – 59 DAY |
| Jan 19, 2022 | DAY 68 – 50 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAY | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-0 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#30) | 7.8 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.84 (#8) | 0.91 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.45 (#8) | 1.15 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.657 (#3) | 0.551 (#96) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAY | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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