Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | DAY -360 SBU +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +2 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | DAY -7.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -6.6 (-4.6) | 146.8 (-4.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -6.3 (-4.3) | 146.6 (-4.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -6.4 (-4.4) | 148.3 (-6.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -6.4 (-4.4) | 148.0 (-6.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | DAY 68 – 63 SBU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | SBU 75 – 53 DAY |
| Feb 3, 2024 | DAY 76 – 71 SBU |
| Feb 5, 2023 | SBU 68 – 59 DAY |
| Jan 19, 2022 | DAY 68 – 50 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAY | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 8-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#94) | 1.1 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#91) | 0.35 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#93) | 0.52 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#84) | 0.533 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAY | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 35.1% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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