Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | SBU +125 DAY -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +22 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | SBU -0.4 (+21.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -1.1 (+20.9) | 134.0 (-6.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -0.7 (+21.3) | 136.7 (-8.7) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -0.5 (+21.5) | 136.8 (-8.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -0.9 (+21.1) | 136.4 (-8.4) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | DAY 68 – 63 SBU |
| Feb 4, 2026 | DAY 72 – 70 SBU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | DAY 76 – 71 SBU |
| Feb 5, 2023 | SBU 68 – 59 DAY |
| Jan 19, 2022 | DAY 68 – 50 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 16-2 |
| Away | 7-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#96) | 8.2 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#91) | 1.40 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#84) | 1.98 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#90) | 0.567 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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