Hop in my Chrysler, it's as big as a whale and it's about to set sail. "Love Shack" - The B-52's
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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83–41 on winners spread MAE 8.3 124 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Saint Louis @ VCU +10.2 142.3 82% 61–85 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Siena -9.8 142.4 17% 82–70 ✓
Niagara @ Rider +1.6 149.5 51% 78–74 ✗
Marist @ Mount St. Mary's +1.4 133.0 59% 48–65 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Fairfield +2.2 133.7 59% 67–76 ✓
Canisius @ Iona +5.7 144.1 78% 58–70 ✓
Le Moyne @ Central Connecticut +6.3 141.7 72% 75–73 ✗
Wagner @ Merrimack +7.0 127.7 71% 71–65 ✗
Long Island University @ Saint Francis +4.0 137.2 76% 66–72 ✓
Toledo @ Central Michigan -6.9 143.7 25% 62–65 ✗
Akron @ Kent State -1.4 142.2 41% 77–71 ✓
Indiana @ Wisconsin +12.0 142.8 86% 79–91 ✓
UNLV @ Colorado State +8.1 144.5 78% 75–78 ✓
Baylor @ Texas -1.3 143.3 47% 73–75 ✗
Marquette @ St. John's +2.2 144.9 56% 73–72 ✗
Creighton @ Seton Hall -1.4 136.1 48% 97–94 ✓
Miami @ Syracuse +1.4 151.7 60% 69–72 ✓
Virginia Tech @ NC State +3.2 140.5 63% 84–78 ✗
Louisville @ Wake Forest +16.6 152.7 88% 65–90 ✓
Penn State @ Ohio State +9.0 146.0 83% 67–79 ✓
George Washington @ Massachusetts +7.2 160.2 81% 67–81 ✓
Robert Morris @ IU Indianapolis -7.5 143.3 19% 80–63 ✓
Rhode Island @ Dayton +15.9 140.4 89% 62–96 ✓
Oklahoma @ Cincinnati +4.1 140.1 73% 69–65 ✗
Winthrop @ Gardner-Webb -0.3 148.6 58% 74–79 ✗
San Diego State @ Boise State +1.1 134.5 62% 66–67 ✓
South Carolina @ Arkansas +1.0 141.7 52% 77–64 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Fordham +1.3 145.7 58% 65–61 ✗
The Citadel @ VMI -10.3 145.0 27% 63–70 ✗
New Hampshire @ UMBC -3.9 157.0 29% 64–58 ✓
Denver @ North Dakota -4.6 157.2 40% 78–92 ✗
Kansas City @ Omaha +3.2 145.2 63% 74–72 ✗
Army @ Navy +6.9 126.2 70% 53–57 ✓
UCF @ Houston +15.1 124.2 87% 42–57 ✓
Alabama @ Tennessee +3.5 163.2 60% 71–91 ✓
Iowa State @ TCU +1.0 144.2 63% 73–72 ✗
Rice @ Temple +4.5 142.5 70% 69–66 ✗
Illinois State @ Missouri State +7.7 133.3 74% 69–60 ✗
Belmont @ Bradley +9.1 149.6 81% 72–95 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Radford +7.5 142.3 80% 61–64 ✓
William & Mary @ North Carolina A&T +1.2 147.1 54% 69–76 ✓
Hampton @ Monmouth +12.7 146.2 87% 77–85 ✓
Delaware @ Drexel +5.2 136.0 70% 67–86 ✓
Boston University @ Colgate +9.9 131.6 81% 59–75 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ George Mason +2.0 133.4 60% 60–69 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Holy Cross +0.3 133.5 47% 78–86 ✓
Bucknell @ Lafayette +0.5 131.9 52% 72–75 ✓
Western Michigan @ Bowling Green +5.1 147.8 73% 79–84 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Ball State +2.6 139.5 61% 87–80 ✗
Western Carolina @ Furman +2.4 148.2 63% 62–65 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Cleveland State +2.0 157.2 68% 68–75 ✓
Yale @ Dartmouth -12.1 132.9 14% 76–51 ✓
Princeton @ Columbia -10.8 145.8 16% 70–62 ✓
Maine @ NJIT -4.3 133.7 30% 70–64 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Binghamton -7.8 148.5 23% 80–60 ✓
South Dakota State @ South Dakota -5.7 150.2 29% 73–55 ✓
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State +0.1 154.4 61% 67–72 ✓
Cornell @ Brown -5.3 154.0 32% 84–83 ✓
Purdue @ Iowa -3.4 163.9 28% 84–70 ✓
North Carolina @ Boston College -7.0 151.4 24% 76–66 ✓
USC @ Arizona State +1.3 146.9 58% 67–82 ✓
Northwestern @ Nebraska +4.0 143.1 68% 69–75 ✓
Duquesne @ Saint Joseph's +4.8 144.4 72% 69–71 ✓
East Carolina @ UAB +5.9 141.8 78% 61–69 ✓
Tulsa @ SMU +13.5 144.3 87% 70–103 ✓
Presbyterian @ Longwood +11.3 138.2 87% 70–80 ✓
Georgia State @ Georgia Southern -4.0 148.2 38% 70–86 ✗
Kennesaw State @ Jacksonville -3.0 157.2 39% 83–79 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Mississippi State +13.4 137.3 87% 55–68 ✓
Troy @ Southern Miss -2.3 144.0 43% 63–64 ✗
Kansas @ West Virginia -9.4 146.0 27% 85–91 ✗
UCLA @ Arizona +17.9 139.7 90% 71–77 ✓
Fresno State @ Utah State +18.5 143.7 89% 62–83 ✓
North Carolina Central @ South Carolina State -4.5 143.7 29% 68–71 ✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Delaware State +6.6 136.3 75% 63–67 ✓
Southern @ Grambling -1.9 136.9 38% 62–79 ✗
Clemson @ Florida State -0.9 148.2 56% 78–67 ✓
Texas Southern @ Alcorn State +1.9 140.5 48% 72–61 ✗
North Texas @ Charlotte -1.8 124.6 35% 44–56 ✗
UIC @ Valparaiso -2.7 133.1 49% 77–84 ✗
Campbell @ Towson +9.9 128.2 83% 43–77 ✓
DePaul @ Butler +14.6 149.5 90% 60–74 ✓
Florida A&M @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +4.3 152.8 74% 97–99 ✓
Texas A&M @ LSU -0.6 142.8 48% 73–69 ✓
Richmond @ Davidson -0.9 133.8 47% 69–64 ✓
New Mexico @ Air Force -11.8 143.7 17% 85–66 ✓
Norfolk State @ Howard +0.5 138.5 48% 65–61 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Ohio +11.6 145.4 85% 67–85 ✓
Wofford @ UNC Greensboro +6.4 143.5 74% 59–82 ✓
Youngstown State @ Detroit Mercy -12.7 143.7 15% 105–64 ✓
Louisiana @ South Alabama -2.0 149.4 40% 88–79 ✓
UT Arlington @ Abilene Christian +0.4 149.7 61% 67–78 ✓
Utah Tech @ Utah Valley +6.7 140.8 76% 71–84 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Santa Barbara +5.8 137.6 74% 73–69 ✗
Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona -0.5 130.7 44% 61–70 ✗
Morgan State @ Coppin State -0.6 133.7 40% 89–86 ✓
Tennessee State @ Western Illinois +2.7 137.6 64% 58–57 ✗
Morehead State @ Southern Indiana -10.2 137.1 17% 81–70 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Lindenwood -3.8 133.6 34% 78–68 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ App State +13.9 145.0 88% 59–88 ✓
East Texas A&M @ SE Louisiana +4.1 133.6 65% 68–52 ✗
Nicholls @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +3.7 143.9 67% 59–69 ✓
Lamar @ Houston Christian -5.7 155.2 29% 77–78 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Southeast Missouri State -8.0 137.0 23% 47–52 ✗
Washington State @ California -4.3 143.8 32% 75–81 ✗
American University @ Lehigh -1.2 139.5 46% 68–70 ✗
North Alabama @ Lipscomb +8.4 154.3 78% 79–88 ✓
Queens University @ North Florida +4.2 154.8 70% 75–91 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Jacksonville State -2.3 129.4 41% 74–57 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Davis -1.7 138.2 43% 52–54 ✗
Arkansas State @ Texas State +0.6 142.5 56% 79–72 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Austin Peay +9.5 142.6 83% 71–94 ✓
Northwestern State @ New Orleans +4.7 147.5 61% 92–67 ✗
Georgia @ Kentucky +10.5 163.8 81% 96–105 ✓
BYU @ Texas Tech -2.3 147.3 54% 78–85 ✗
Virginia @ Georgia Tech -0.1 133.9 37% 75–66 ✓
Evansville @ Drake +16.0 147.0 89% 48–97 ✓
Charleston @ UNC Wilmington +1.7 154.7 59% 69–78 ✓
Mercer @ Samford +15.4 149.2 87% 80–87 ✓
Harvard @ Pennsylvania +5.3 143.5 72% 70–61 ✗
Marshall @ James Madison +13.4 155.7 86% 52–67 ✓
McNeese @ Incarnate Word -11.2 141.7 16% 80–66 ✓
Green Bay @ Northern Kentucky +3.9 137.7 74% 52–74 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Jackson State +5.6 147.2 76% 71–62 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.