Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | NDSU -138 ORU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +5 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -1.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.7 (-21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -0.1 (+4.9) | 154.4 (-15.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -1.3 (+3.7) | 153.6 (-14.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -0.8 (+4.2) | 154.5 (-15.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -1.1 (+3.9) | 156.1 (-17.1) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | NDSU 76 – 65 ORU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NDSU 86 – 58 ORU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NDSU 79 – 77 ORU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | NDSU 94 – 88 ORU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | NDSU 110 – 96 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 5-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-11 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#259) | -2.6 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#264) | -0.82 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#271) | -1.04 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#253) | 0.459 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 20.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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