Betting Lines
| Spread | CIT -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | VMI +400 CIT -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VMI +7 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | CIT -12.0 (+19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIT -10.3 (+17.3) | 145.0 (-12.0) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIT -11.0 (+18.0) | 142.6 (-9.6) | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CIT -10.4 (+17.4) | 143.5 (-10.5) | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIT -10.2 (+17.2) | 141.3 (-8.3) | 20% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | CIT 80 – 56 VMI |
| Jan 18, 2026 | CIT 82 – 68 VMI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | VMI 73 – 62 CIT |
| Feb 8, 2025 | VMI 82 – 70 CIT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VMI 75 – 70 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 3-15 |
| Home | 4-10 | 7-7 |
| Away | 0-15 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L13 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.9 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -17.3 (#361) | -1.6 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.29 (#362) | -0.71 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.57 (#361) | -0.65 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.360 (#359) | 0.468 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.56 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
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