Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | BTLR -2500 DEP +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +14 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | BTLR -21.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -17.5 (-3.5) | 148.7 (-14.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -14.6 (-0.6) | 149.5 (-15.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -16.5 (-2.5) | 147.8 (-13.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -17.4 (-3.4) | 148.5 (-14.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BTLR 81 – 71 DEP |
| Jan 21, 2026 | BTLR 87 – 80 DEP |
| Feb 23, 2025 | BTLR 84 – 72 DEP |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BTLR 86 – 69 DEP |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BTLR 82 – 63 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 3-29 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 0-20 |
| Home | 12-6 | 3-15 |
| Away | 4-7 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L20 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 81.8 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#52) | -8.3 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#75) | -1.58 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#66) | -1.73 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#89) | 0.448 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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