Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | BTLR -325 DEP +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +7 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | BTLR -10.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (+16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -9.8 (-2.8) | 145.5 (+21.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -9.4 (-2.4) | 148.0 (+19.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -9.2 (-2.2) | 143.0 (+24.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -9.6 (-2.6) | 141.9 (+25.1) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BTLR 81 – 71 DEP |
| Feb 23, 2025 | BTLR 84 – 72 DEP |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BTLR 86 – 69 DEP |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BTLR 82 – 63 DEP |
| Jan 20, 2024 | BTLR 74 – 60 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-7 | 11-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#50) | 4.2 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#65) | 0.80 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#64) | 1.08 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#80) | 0.500 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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