Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | DEP +550 BTLR -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +19 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | BTLR -14.9 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -13.8 (-5.2) | 150.0 (-5.0) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -13.7 (-5.3) | 149.2 (-4.2) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -13.4 (-5.6) | 149.3 (-4.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -13.7 (-5.3) | 151.0 (-6.0) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BTLR 81 – 71 DEP |
| Jan 21, 2026 | BTLR 87 – 80 DEP |
| Feb 23, 2025 | BTLR 84 – 72 DEP |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BTLR 86 – 69 DEP |
| Jan 20, 2024 | BTLR 74 – 60 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-29 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 0-20 | 9-11 |
| Home | 3-15 | 12-6 |
| Away | 0-11 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L20 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#313) | 9.2 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#328) | 1.38 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#315) | 1.65 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#309) | 0.527 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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