Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -400 SLU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +24 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -11.4 (+12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -9.8 (+14.2) | 144.1 (+1.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -10.2 (+13.8) | 142.3 (+3.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -10.2 (+13.8) | 144.9 (+1.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -10.4 (+13.6) | 145.7 (+0.3) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SLU 88 – 75 VCU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | SLU 71 – 62 VCU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | SLU 78 – 69 VCU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VCU 78 – 62 SLU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | VCU 95 – 85 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-14 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-6 | 8-8 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#99) | -2.4 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#122) | 0.17 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#108) | -0.05 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#122) | 0.518 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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