Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | SLU +170 VCU -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +10 | 180 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -6.8 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+35.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -6.7 (-3.3) | 142.8 (+37.2) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -5.8 (-4.2) | 143.5 (+36.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -6.3 (-3.7) | 143.3 (+36.7) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -6.7 (-3.3) | 143.0 (+37.0) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SLU 88 – 75 VCU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | SLU 71 – 62 VCU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | SLU 78 – 69 VCU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VCU 78 – 62 SLU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | VCU 85 – 61 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 24-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-8 | 13-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 66.7 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#213) | 7.4 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#191) | 1.25 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#197) | 1.60 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#189) | 0.559 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 44.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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