Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -355 VCU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +13 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -9.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -9.2 (+3.8) | 158.1 (+4.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -7.4 (+5.6) | 159.8 (+3.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -10.0 (+3.0) | 159.9 (+3.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -9.9 (+3.1) | 160.7 (+2.3) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | SLU 71 – 62 VCU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | SLU 78 – 69 VCU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VCU 78 – 62 SLU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | VCU 95 – 85 SLU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | VCU 85 – 61 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 28-8 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 15-3 |
| Home | 19-0 | 15-2 |
| Away | 7-3 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 18.6 (#21) | 12.0 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.82 (#27) | 2.07 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.74 (#24) | 2.77 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.620 (#25) | 0.598 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.4% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 41.4% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.8% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 33.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.0% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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