Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 171.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -135 SLU +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +9 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -1.2 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 173.0 (-40.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -3.0 (-12.0) | 163.4 (-30.4) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -0.3 (-8.7) | 162.9 (-29.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -0.3 (-9.3) | 162.9 (-29.9) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -1.0 (-8.0) | 162.4 (-29.4) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SLU 88 – 75 VCU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | SLU 78 – 69 VCU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VCU 78 – 62 SLU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | VCU 95 – 85 SLU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | VCU 85 – 61 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 15-3 |
| Home | 15-2 | 19-0 |
| Away | 7-3 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.8 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#42) | 16.9 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#49) | 2.43 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.93 (#44) | 3.62 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#55) | 0.589 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 51.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 39.3% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 43.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 60.6% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 33.4% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 43.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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