Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | SLU +210 VCU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +9 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -6.5 (+15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (+8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -5.2 (+14.2) | 136.6 (+10.4) | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -5.9 (+14.9) | 138.8 (+8.2) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -4.6 (+13.6) | 135.6 (+11.4) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -5.0 (+14.0) | 135.1 (+11.9) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SLU 88 – 75 VCU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | SLU 71 – 62 VCU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VCU 78 – 62 SLU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | VCU 95 – 85 SLU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | VCU 85 – 61 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-3 | 15-1 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 63.0 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#125) | 12.0 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#129) | 1.64 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#122) | 2.51 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#105) | 0.583 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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