Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -600 SLU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +16 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -12.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -11.8 (+4.2) | 142.4 (-2.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -12.1 (+3.9) | 143.7 (-3.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -10.4 (+5.6) | 141.3 (-1.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -10.4 (+5.6) | 143.0 (-3.0) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SLU 88 – 75 VCU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | SLU 71 – 62 VCU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | SLU 78 – 69 VCU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | VCU 95 – 85 SLU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | VCU 85 – 61 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-1 | 14-3 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#59) | 1.8 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#90) | 0.46 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#72) | 0.68 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#81) | 0.533 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 57.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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