We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
Horizon League · Corteva Coliseum · January 20, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -5.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Money IUIN +188 / RMU -250
Model Predictions
Spread Total IUIN win
Actual RMU +17 143 Lost
Massey RMU -6.5 (-10.5)
Massey Totals 149.3 (-6.3)
Bradley-Terry 44%
Weighted B-T 42%
Efficiency Plus ML RMU -7.5 (-9.5) 143.3 (-0.3) 19%
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -5.9 (-11.1) 147.0 (-4.0) 28%
Baseline ML RMU -5.9 (-11.1) 146.3 (-3.3) 25%
Baseline Plus ML RMU -6.1 (-10.9) 146.0 (-3.0) 26%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 29, 2026 RMU 7458 IUIN
Jan 15, 2026 IUIN 9693 RMU
Feb 27, 2025 RMU 8268 IUIN
Jan 31, 2025 RMU 10653 IUIN
Jan 5, 2024 RMU 9248 IUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IUIN RMU
Overall 6-26 10-22
Conference 2-18 6-14
Home 4-10 7-9
Away 2-13 3-13
Neutral 0-3 0-0
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L12 L7
Avg Pts For 64.5 72.2
Avg Pts Against 81.2 77.4
Massey -16.3 (#360) -6.1 (#279)
Bradley-Terry -2.60 (#346) -1.66 (#317)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.33 (#346) -2.24 (#319)
RPI 0.377 (#349) 0.410 (#320)
Shooting & Four Factors IUIN RMU
FG% 44.0% 44.1%
3PT% 27.4% 33.3%
REB / G 30.2 34.5
OREB / G 9.8 12.4
AST / TO 0.69 0.86
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.5% 50.7%
TOV% 21.3% 20.9%
ORB% 30.0% 34.0%
FT Rate 22.4% 23.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 57.2% 54.9%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 18.5%
DRB% 65.5% 69.8%
Opp FT Rate 23.8% 26.9%

Game Analysis

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