Betting Lines
| Spread | RMU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | RMU -450 IUIN +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +53 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | RMU -8.8 (+44.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RMU -7.8 (+45.2) | 146.7 (+12.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RMU -8.3 (+44.7) | 148.4 (+10.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RMU -8.3 (+44.7) | 149.2 (+9.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RMU -8.7 (+44.3) | 148.0 (+11.0) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | RMU 74 – 58 IUIN |
| Jan 15, 2026 | IUIN 96 – 93 RMU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | RMU 82 – 68 IUIN |
| Jan 20, 2024 | RMU 80 – 63 IUIN |
| Jan 5, 2024 | RMU 92 – 48 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 6-14 |
| Home | 16-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 8-6 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 79.7 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#209) | -8.0 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#143) | -2.39 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#168) | -2.73 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#158) | 0.384 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 31.3% |
Game Analysis
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