I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · January 5, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -7.5 Home covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money RMU -275 / IUIN +260
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual RMU +44 140 Won
Massey RMU -14.5 (+29.5) — —
Massey Totals — 144.9 (-4.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 90% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Baseline Plus ML RMU -10.0 (+34.0) 142.8 (-2.8) 86% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RMU -11.1 (+32.9) 143.1 (-3.1) 87% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -10.9 (+33.1) 143.7 (-3.7) 86% ✓
Baseline ML RMU -10.5 (+33.5) 144.5 (-4.5) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 29, 2026 RMU 74 – 58 IUIN
Jan 15, 2026 IUIN 96 – 93 RMU
Feb 27, 2025 RMU 82 – 68 IUIN
Jan 31, 2025 RMU 106 – 53 IUIN
Jan 20, 2024 RMU 80 – 63 IUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU IUIN
Overall 10-22 6-26
Conference 6-14 2-18
Home 7-9 4-10
Away 3-13 2-13
Neutral 0-0 0-3
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L7 L12
Avg Pts For 72.2 64.5
Avg Pts Against 77.4 81.2
Massey -6.3 (#278) -16.5 (#357)
Bradley-Terry -1.91 (#322) -3.23 (#355)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.52 (#323) -4.23 (#354)
RPI 0.399 (#333) 0.343 (#360)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU IUIN
FG% 42.7% 43.4%
3PT% 31.6% 23.6%
REB / G 32.2 30.6
OREB / G 11.2 10.1
AST / TO 0.80 0.70
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.8% 46.5%
TOV% 20.5% 19.8%
ORB% 30.8% 29.7%
FT Rate 22.4% 24.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.7% 57.1%
Opp TOV% 19.2% 17.2%
DRB% 68.4% 67.0%
Opp FT Rate 27.1% 24.3%

Game Analysis

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