Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | GWEB -110 WIN +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +5 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | WIN -0.7 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (+3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -0.7 (+5.7) | 149.7 (+3.3) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -0.3 (+5.3) | 148.6 (+4.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -0.0 (+5.0) | 147.4 (+5.6) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -0.8 (+5.8) | 149.4 (+3.6) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | WIN 103 – 85 GWEB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WIN 88 – 77 GWEB |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WIN 96 – 93 GWEB |
| Jan 9, 2025 | GWEB 89 – 83 WIN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GWEB 65 – 64 WIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 8-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#228) | 1.2 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#251) | 0.43 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#279) | 0.54 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#232) | 0.521 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 37.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.