Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | GWEB +1500 WIN -3600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +18 | 188 | Lost |
| Massey | WIN -21.3 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.6 (+28.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -15.9 (-2.1) | 148.3 (+39.7) | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -14.0 (-4.0) | 147.7 (+40.3) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -15.2 (-2.8) | 147.3 (+40.7) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -16.4 (-1.6) | 151.8 (+36.2) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | WIN 88 – 77 GWEB |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WIN 96 – 93 GWEB |
| Jan 9, 2025 | GWEB 89 – 83 WIN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GWEB 65 – 64 WIN |
| Jan 20, 2024 | GWEB 79 – 74 WIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-29 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 13-3 |
| Home | 3-10 | 13-1 |
| Away | 0-16 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 86.7 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -21.9 (#363) | 2.4 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.54 (#363) | 0.48 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.79 (#364) | 0.33 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#355) | 0.561 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 32.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.8% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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