Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | DAY -1000 URI +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +34 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | DAY -16.8 (+17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -15.9 (+18.1) | 140.4 (+17.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -13.3 (+20.7) | 141.4 (+16.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -14.3 (+19.7) | 142.1 (+15.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -14.4 (+19.6) | 140.0 (+18.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | URI 81 – 76 DAY |
| Feb 27, 2025 | DAY 85 – 77 URI |
| Jan 26, 2023 | URI 75 – 70 DAY |
| Feb 15, 2022 | DAY 63 – 57 URI |
| Jan 29, 2022 | DAY 53 – 51 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAY | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-0 | 9-8 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 11.9 (#35) | -1.2 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.16 (#5) | 0.25 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.94 (#6) | 0.33 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.671 (#3) | 0.526 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAY | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.5% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.8% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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