Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | URI +165 DAY -195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +8 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | DAY -1.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -0.7 (-7.3) | 150.8 (+11.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -2.3 (-5.7) | 147.1 (+14.9) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -0.9 (-7.1) | 149.3 (+12.7) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -0.8 (-7.2) | 150.7 (+11.3) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | URI 81 – 76 DAY |
| Jan 20, 2024 | DAY 96 – 62 URI |
| Jan 26, 2023 | URI 75 – 70 DAY |
| Feb 15, 2022 | DAY 63 – 57 URI |
| Jan 29, 2022 | DAY 53 – 51 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-3 | 16-2 |
| Away | 1-9 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#123) | 7.0 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#121) | 1.25 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#111) | 1.68 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#91) | 0.564 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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