Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | DAY -440 URI +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +5 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | DAY -6.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (+19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -5.3 (-10.3) | 135.9 (+21.1) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -5.8 (-10.8) | 135.4 (+21.6) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -5.6 (-10.6) | 134.6 (+22.4) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -5.3 (-10.3) | 135.1 (+21.9) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2025 | DAY 85 – 77 URI |
| Jan 20, 2024 | DAY 96 – 62 URI |
| Jan 26, 2023 | URI 75 – 70 DAY |
| Feb 15, 2022 | DAY 63 – 57 URI |
| Jan 29, 2022 | DAY 53 – 51 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAY | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 8-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#89) | 3.8 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#90) | 0.55 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#96) | 0.89 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#82) | 0.517 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAY | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 34.7% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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