Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Under |
| Money | URI +115 DAY -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +6 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | DAY -2.4 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -2.9 (-3.1) | 125.6 (-5.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -2.8 (-3.2) | 125.8 (-5.8) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -2.4 (-3.6) | 128.1 (-8.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -3.1 (-2.9) | 128.8 (-8.8) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | URI 81 – 76 DAY |
| Feb 27, 2025 | DAY 85 – 77 URI |
| Jan 20, 2024 | DAY 96 – 62 URI |
| Jan 26, 2023 | URI 75 – 70 DAY |
| Jan 29, 2022 | DAY 53 – 51 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 5-12 | 14-4 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 61.2 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#110) | 9.4 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#157) | 1.28 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#135) | 1.70 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#138) | 0.556 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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