Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | URI +333 DAY -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +5 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | DAY -7.3 (+12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.4 (+19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -6.1 (+11.1) | 130.8 (+14.2) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -7.3 (+12.3) | 131.7 (+13.3) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -7.4 (+12.4) | 131.9 (+13.1) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -5.7 (+10.7) | 130.9 (+14.1) | 27% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | URI 81 – 76 DAY |
| Feb 27, 2025 | DAY 85 – 77 URI |
| Jan 20, 2024 | DAY 96 – 62 URI |
| Feb 15, 2022 | DAY 63 – 57 URI |
| Jan 29, 2022 | DAY 53 – 51 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-9 | 14-2 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 61.0 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#229) | 7.7 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#269) | 0.87 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#257) | 1.43 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#253) | 0.547 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 43.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 14.4% |
Game Analysis
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