Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Under |
| Money | DAY -250 URI +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +2 | 104 | Won |
| Massey | DAY -6.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -5.3 (-3.3) | 127.3 (-23.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -6.5 (-4.5) | 125.7 (-21.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -5.5 (-3.5) | 128.0 (-24.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -5.5 (-3.5) | 128.6 (-24.6) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | URI 81 – 76 DAY |
| Feb 27, 2025 | DAY 85 – 77 URI |
| Jan 20, 2024 | DAY 96 – 62 URI |
| Jan 26, 2023 | URI 75 – 70 DAY |
| Feb 15, 2022 | DAY 63 – 57 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAY | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 5-12 |
| Home | 13-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.2 | 65.3 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#74) | 4.6 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#101) | 0.31 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#100) | 0.76 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#107) | 0.529 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAY | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 44.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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