Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | JKST -275 PV +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PV +9 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | JKST -8.4 (-17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -5.6 (-14.6) | 147.2 (-14.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -5.7 (-14.7) | 145.7 (-12.7) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -5.7 (-14.7) | 146.3 (-13.3) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -5.4 (-14.4) | 150.7 (-17.7) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | PV 85 – 76 JKST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | JKST 82 – 78 PV |
| Mar 4, 2025 | JKST 88 – 74 PV |
| Jan 18, 2025 | JKST 79 – 70 PV |
| Mar 5, 2024 | JKST 79 – 74 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-2 | 5-6 |
| Away | 7-13 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#256) | -9.3 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#168) | -0.88 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#208) | -1.02 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#143) | 0.443 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 62.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 35.5% |
Game Analysis
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