Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | JKST -118 PV -102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +4 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | PV -5.2 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -3.5 (+7.5) | 156.2 (+3.8) | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PV -3.5 (+7.5) | 155.1 (+4.9) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PV -3.1 (+7.1) | 153.2 (+6.8) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PV -3.4 (+7.4) | 152.5 (+7.5) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | PV 85 – 76 JKST |
| Mar 4, 2025 | JKST 88 – 74 PV |
| Jan 18, 2025 | JKST 79 – 70 PV |
| Mar 5, 2024 | JKST 79 – 74 PV |
| Jan 20, 2024 | PV 71 – 62 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 19-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-3 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-15 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.8 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -17.7 (#358) | -9.1 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#318) | -1.00 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#322) | -1.30 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#280) | 0.447 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 32.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.3% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 59.8% | 63.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 39.7% |
Game Analysis
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