And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
Southwestern Athletic Conference · Lee E. Williams Athletics and Assembly Center · March 4, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread JKST -14.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money JKST -2000 / PV +1000
Model Predictions
Spread Total JKST win
Actual JKST +14 162 Won
Massey JKST -12.5 (+1.5)
Massey Totals 154.2 (+7.8)
Bradley-Terry 96%
Weighted B-T 98%
Efficiency Plus ML JKST -11.5 (+2.5) 148.1 (+13.9) 87%
Baseline Tuned ML JKST -11.9 (+2.1) 146.0 (+16.0) 88%
Baseline ML JKST -11.7 (+2.3) 145.7 (+16.3) 89%
Baseline Plus ML JKST -10.6 (+3.4) 147.9 (+14.1) 87%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 PV 8576 JKST
Jan 17, 2026 JKST 8278 PV
Jan 18, 2025 JKST 7970 PV
Mar 5, 2024 JKST 7974 PV
Jan 20, 2024 PV 7162 JKST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings JKST PV
Overall 16-18 5-27
Conference 14-4 4-14
Home 8-1 3-7
Away 6-15 2-19
Neutral 2-2 0-1
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 71.4 70.2
Avg Pts Against 74.6 82.2
Massey -6.5 (#274) -15.8 (#356)
Bradley-Terry -0.99 (#259) -3.73 (#360)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.24 (#263) -4.49 (#361)
RPI 0.491 (#198) 0.376 (#357)
Shooting & Four Factors JKST PV
FG% 40.8% 42.8%
3PT% 31.4% 32.0%
REB / G 35.9 27.9
OREB / G 11.2 8.7
AST / TO 0.84 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.3% 48.1%
TOV% 19.5% 17.0%
ORB% 29.9% 24.3%
FT Rate 27.3% 24.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.9% 56.0%
Opp TOV% 18.3% 19.9%
DRB% 68.8% 61.1%
Opp FT Rate 22.7% 29.3%

Game Analysis

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