Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | JKST -2000 PV +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +14 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -12.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -10.6 (+3.4) | 147.9 (+14.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -11.5 (+2.5) | 148.1 (+13.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -11.9 (+2.1) | 146.0 (+16.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -11.7 (+2.3) | 145.7 (+16.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | PV 85 – 76 JKST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | JKST 82 – 78 PV |
| Jan 18, 2025 | JKST 79 – 70 PV |
| Mar 5, 2024 | JKST 79 – 74 PV |
| Jan 20, 2024 | PV 71 – 62 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-1 | 3-7 |
| Away | 6-15 | 2-19 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 82.2 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#274) | -15.8 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#259) | -3.73 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#263) | -4.49 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#198) | 0.376 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 27.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 61.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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