Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | PV +140 JKST -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +5 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | JKST -1.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -0.2 (-4.8) | 142.1 (+10.9) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -0.9 (-4.1) | 142.5 (+10.5) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -0.5 (-4.5) | 140.5 (+12.5) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -0.6 (-4.4) | 141.5 (+11.5) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | PV 85 – 76 JKST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | JKST 82 – 78 PV |
| Mar 4, 2025 | JKST 88 – 74 PV |
| Jan 18, 2025 | JKST 79 – 70 PV |
| Jan 20, 2024 | PV 71 – 62 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PV | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 5-6 | 6-2 |
| Away | 4-15 | 7-13 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#333) | -7.8 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#315) | -0.82 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#318) | -1.28 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#309) | 0.471 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PV | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.3% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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