Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | PV +100 JKST -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +9 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | PV -1.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PV -0.3 (-9.3) | 149.6 (-0.6) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -0.3 (-8.7) | 148.7 (+0.3) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -0.2 (-8.8) | 149.8 (-0.8) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -0.5 (-9.5) | 151.8 (-2.8) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | PV 85 – 76 JKST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | JKST 82 – 78 PV |
| Mar 4, 2025 | JKST 88 – 74 PV |
| Mar 5, 2024 | JKST 79 – 74 PV |
| Jan 20, 2024 | PV 71 – 62 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PV | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 14-4 |
| Home | 3-7 | 8-1 |
| Away | 2-19 | 6-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#332) | -9.0 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.27 (#335) | -1.08 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.82 (#334) | -1.41 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#306) | 0.485 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PV | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 36.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 27.4 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.1% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 59.0% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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