Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | MONM -1000 HAMP +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +8 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -18.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (+13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -14.2 (-6.2) | 145.8 (+16.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -12.7 (-4.7) | 146.2 (+15.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -13.4 (-5.4) | 146.2 (+15.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -13.9 (-5.9) | 146.0 (+16.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | HAMP 65 – 63 MONM |
| Feb 7, 2025 | MONM 68 – 63 HAMP |
| Mar 1, 2024 | HAMP 64 – 56 MONM |
| Mar 3, 2023 | MONM 100 – 64 HAMP |
| Feb 24, 2023 | HAMP 86 – 81 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-15 |
| Home | 13-1 | 5-9 |
| Away | 2-13 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#175) | -14.8 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#130) | -3.60 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#130) | -4.16 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#130) | 0.344 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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