Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | HAMP +275 MONM -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +8 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -8.5 (+16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-29.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -6.3 (+14.3) | 147.0 (-27.0) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -7.6 (+15.6) | 146.8 (-26.8) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -7.5 (+15.5) | 147.6 (-27.6) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -7.8 (+15.8) | 148.9 (-28.9) | 26% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | HAMP 65 – 63 MONM |
| Feb 7, 2025 | MONM 68 – 63 HAMP |
| Jan 20, 2024 | MONM 85 – 77 HAMP |
| Mar 3, 2023 | MONM 100 – 64 HAMP |
| Feb 24, 2023 | HAMP 86 – 81 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-9 | 13-1 |
| Away | 1-12 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -13.4 (#345) | -1.6 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.44 (#346) | 0.19 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.81 (#341) | 0.18 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#343) | 0.511 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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