Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | MONM -155 HAMP +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +5 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -2.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -1.4 (+3.6) | 144.9 (-13.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -2.3 (+2.7) | 144.3 (-13.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -1.1 (+3.9) | 142.6 (-11.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -1.4 (+3.6) | 144.7 (-13.7) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | HAMP 65 – 63 MONM |
| Mar 1, 2024 | HAMP 64 – 56 MONM |
| Jan 20, 2024 | MONM 85 – 77 HAMP |
| Mar 3, 2023 | MONM 100 – 64 HAMP |
| Feb 24, 2023 | HAMP 86 – 81 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-14 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#272) | -6.1 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#287) | -0.85 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#284) | -1.06 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#273) | 0.484 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 32.7% |
Game Analysis
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