Betting Lines
| Spread | HAMP -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | HAMP -120 MONM +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +5 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | HAMP -5.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+27.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAMP -1.9 (+3.1) | 141.8 (+25.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAMP -3.7 (+1.3) | 140.9 (+26.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAMP -3.6 (+1.4) | 141.6 (+25.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -3.8 (+1.2) | 141.2 (+25.8) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | HAMP 65 – 63 MONM |
| Feb 7, 2025 | MONM 68 – 63 HAMP |
| Mar 1, 2024 | HAMP 64 – 56 MONM |
| Jan 20, 2024 | MONM 85 – 77 HAMP |
| Mar 3, 2023 | MONM 100 – 64 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 7-26 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-6 | 3-10 |
| Away | 1-13 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 61.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -12.2 (#344) | -14.2 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#331) | -1.60 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.41 (#337) | -2.03 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#338) | 0.449 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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