Betting Lines
| Spread | HAMP -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +36 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | HAMP -2.5 (-38.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (+24.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -1.4 (-37.4) | 143.7 (+20.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -0.2 (-35.8) | 141.7 (+22.3) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAMP -1.5 (-37.5) | 142.5 (+21.5) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HAMP -1.7 (-37.7) | 143.4 (+20.6) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | HAMP 65 – 63 MONM |
| Feb 7, 2025 | MONM 68 – 63 HAMP |
| Mar 1, 2024 | HAMP 64 – 56 MONM |
| Jan 20, 2024 | MONM 85 – 77 HAMP |
| Feb 24, 2023 | HAMP 86 – 81 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 7-26 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-6 | 3-10 |
| Away | 1-13 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 61.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#344) | -14.5 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#330) | -1.79 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#332) | -2.24 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#334) | 0.440 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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