But spirit is something that no one destroys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
Hampton Pirates
65 – 63
FINAL Conference
Monmouth Hawks
Coastal Athletic Association · Convocation Center (VA) · January 23, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread HAMP -1.5 Home covered
O/U 135.5 Under
Money HAMP -112 / MONM -108
Model Predictions
Spread Total HAMP win
Actual HAMP +2 128 Won
Massey HAMP -0.7 (+1.3) — —
Massey Totals — 135.7 (-7.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 56% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 50% ✗
Baseline Plus ML MONM -0.1 (+2.1) 133.3 (-5.3) 49% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ HAMP -1.0 (+1.0) 134.1 (-6.1) 58% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML HAMP -0.1 (+1.9) 132.2 (-4.2) 51% ✓
Baseline ML HAMP -0.2 (+1.8) 132.5 (-4.5) 49% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2025 MONM 68 – 63 HAMP
Mar 1, 2024 HAMP 64 – 56 MONM
Jan 20, 2024 MONM 85 – 77 HAMP
Mar 3, 2023 MONM 100 – 64 HAMP
Feb 24, 2023 HAMP 86 – 81 MONM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HAMP MONM
Overall 13-19 19-15
Conference 7-11 11-7
Home 10-2 10-4
Away 2-12 6-9
Neutral 1-5 3-2
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 68.0 72.0
Avg Pts Against 72.1 70.9
Massey -4.9 (#244) -2.3 (#199)
Bradley-Terry -1.02 (#260) -0.70 (#234)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.54 (#273) -0.91 (#231)
RPI 0.452 (#259) 0.464 (#239)
Shooting & Four Factors HAMP MONM
FG% 41.4% 42.7%
3PT% 27.3% 33.8%
REB / G 35.6 35.1
OREB / G 12.4 10.9
AST / TO 0.90 1.18
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.3% 48.2%
TOV% 18.2% 17.1%
ORB% 34.5% 31.2%
FT Rate 30.2% 25.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 49.2%
Opp TOV% 18.1% 19.5%
DRB% 69.4% 66.0%
Opp FT Rate 30.8% 21.6%

Game Analysis

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