Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | SJU -115 MARQ -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +1 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | SJU -1.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -2.2 (-3.2) | 144.9 (+0.1) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -1.2 (-2.2) | 146.2 (-1.2) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -1.4 (-2.4) | 146.2 (-1.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -1.4 (-2.4) | 148.2 (-3.2) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | SJU 76 – 70 MARQ |
| Jan 13, 2026 | SJU 92 – 68 MARQ |
| Mar 14, 2025 | SJU 79 – 63 MARQ |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SJU 86 – 84 MARQ |
| Feb 4, 2025 | SJU 70 – 64 MARQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#31) | 15.0 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#48) | 2.23 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#45) | 2.98 (#25) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#35) | 0.616 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 15.2 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 39.8% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.