Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | SJU -175 MARQ +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +16 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -1.7 (+14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -2.2 (+13.8) | 144.2 (-2.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -1.4 (+14.6) | 143.5 (-1.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -2.5 (+13.5) | 143.6 (-1.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -2.6 (+13.4) | 144.0 (-2.0) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | SJU 76 – 70 MARQ |
| Jan 13, 2026 | SJU 92 – 68 MARQ |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SJU 86 – 84 MARQ |
| Feb 4, 2025 | SJU 70 – 64 MARQ |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MARQ 86 – 75 SJU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-5 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 13-7 |
| Home | 19-0 | 14-3 |
| Away | 8-2 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 18.0 (#15) | 16.4 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.19 (#11) | 2.47 (#37) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.56 (#7) | 3.25 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.629 (#9) | 0.600 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 40.9 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.