Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | OMA -200 KC +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +2 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | OMA -7.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OMA -3.2 (-5.2) | 145.2 (+0.8) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -6.1 (-8.1) | 146.0 (-0.0) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -6.0 (-8.0) | 146.6 (-0.6) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -6.1 (-8.1) | 146.4 (-0.4) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | OMA 77 – 60 KC |
| Jan 4, 2026 | KC 73 – 66 OMA |
| Mar 7, 2025 | OMA 70 – 61 KC |
| Feb 20, 2025 | OMA 78 – 66 KC |
| Jan 9, 2025 | OMA 77 – 58 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 10-6 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-3 |
| Away | 2-13 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#227) | -6.6 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#270) | -1.78 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#251) | -1.83 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#289) | 0.412 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 33.6% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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