Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | HCU +320 LAM -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HCU +1 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -6.9 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -6.7 (+7.7) | 156.9 (-1.9) | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -5.7 (+6.7) | 155.2 (-0.2) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -6.9 (+7.9) | 151.1 (+3.9) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -6.8 (+7.8) | 152.8 (+2.2) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | HCU 75 – 53 LAM |
| Jan 13, 2026 | LAM 64 – 56 HCU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LAM 66 – 58 HCU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | LAM 63 – 61 HCU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | LAM 78 – 68 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-23 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-8 | 11-3 |
| Away | 1-15 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.8 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -14.3 (#347) | -3.7 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.97 (#353) | -0.78 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.49 (#350) | -0.93 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.381 (#345) | 0.451 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 23.1% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.