Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | LAM -2000 HCU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +10 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -17.6 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -14.8 (-4.8) | 151.8 (-5.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -14.0 (-4.0) | 152.3 (-6.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -14.2 (-4.2) | 149.8 (-3.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -14.5 (-4.5) | 150.8 (-4.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | HCU 75 – 53 LAM |
| Jan 13, 2026 | LAM 64 – 56 HCU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LAM 66 – 58 HCU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | LAM 63 – 61 HCU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | HCU 78 – 77 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-3 | 5-8 |
| Away | 5-11 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 3-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 84.8 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#207) | -16.7 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#256) | -2.89 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#248) | -3.93 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#247) | 0.385 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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