Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | LAM -395 HCU +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +8 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -7.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (-13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -5.3 (+2.7) | 131.2 (-11.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -7.1 (+0.9) | 131.4 (-11.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -5.2 (+2.8) | 129.8 (-9.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -5.4 (+2.6) | 130.2 (-10.2) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | HCU 75 – 53 LAM |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LAM 66 – 58 HCU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | LAM 63 – 61 HCU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | LAM 78 – 68 HCU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | HCU 78 – 77 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-15 | 8-14 |
| Home | 7-8 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#212) | -7.3 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#261) | -2.12 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#250) | -2.47 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#291) | 0.411 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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