Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | HCU +114 LAM -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HCU +22 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -2.0 (+24.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -3.0 (+25.0) | 131.0 (-3.0) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -1.4 (+23.4) | 130.8 (-2.8) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -0.9 (+22.9) | 131.4 (-3.4) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -1.8 (+23.8) | 132.4 (-4.4) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2026 | LAM 64 – 56 HCU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LAM 66 – 58 HCU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | LAM 63 – 61 HCU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | LAM 78 – 68 HCU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | HCU 78 – 77 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 8-14 | 7-15 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-14 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#292) | -3.2 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#300) | -1.35 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#312) | -1.35 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#324) | 0.433 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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