Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | LAM -700 HCU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +2 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -14.4 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -10.5 (-8.5) | 132.6 (-8.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -11.0 (-9.0) | 133.6 (-9.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -11.0 (-9.0) | 136.1 (-12.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -10.1 (-8.1) | 131.4 (-7.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | HCU 75 – 53 LAM |
| Jan 13, 2026 | LAM 64 – 56 HCU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LAM 66 – 58 HCU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | LAM 78 – 68 HCU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | HCU 78 – 77 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-7 |
| Away | 9-7 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#160) | -10.3 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#205) | -2.25 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#188) | -2.75 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#192) | 0.420 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 27.2% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 28.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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