Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | HCU +115 LAM -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +8 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | LAM -2.3 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -2.7 (-5.3) | 133.2 (-9.2) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -3.7 (-4.3) | 134.7 (-10.7) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -2.7 (-5.3) | 133.1 (-9.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -2.2 (-5.8) | 134.0 (-10.0) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | HCU 75 – 53 LAM |
| Jan 13, 2026 | LAM 64 – 56 HCU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | LAM 63 – 61 HCU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | LAM 78 – 68 HCU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | HCU 78 – 77 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 8-7 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-12 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#272) | -1.0 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#288) | -0.08 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#268) | -0.09 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#268) | 0.516 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.