Betting Lines
| Spread | NAU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | NAU -138 SAC +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAU +9 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | NAU -0.7 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAU -0.9 (+8.1) | 134.0 (-3.0) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAC -0.5 (+9.5) | 130.7 (+0.3) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAU -0.9 (+8.1) | 133.1 (-2.1) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SAC -0.2 (+9.2) | 133.7 (-2.7) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | NAU 79 – 74 SAC |
| Jan 16, 2026 | SAC 83 – 69 NAU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NAU 65 – 61 SAC |
| Jan 17, 2025 | NAU 77 – 53 SAC |
| Feb 16, 2024 | NAU 73 – 58 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAU | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 10-24 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 7-5 | 6-8 |
| Away | 6-12 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -10.8 (#325) | -7.8 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#207) | -1.33 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#245) | -1.58 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#191) | 0.416 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAU | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.